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I honestly think you take the bordering states of 1 and 3, and give them to 2. And the rest form a united 1.
Basically, putting 2 between a hammer and an anvil
New Mexico, Colorado, Maryland, and New Jersy are not about to join the neo-confederacy. Maybe Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania if the new POTUS is a black gay trans woman from Michigan who promises to ban chikd marriage.
Utah joins and there are constant skirmishes in the rural Colorado regions that are sympathetic until CA puts Utah under control
Honestly Utah, Wyoming, Montana, both Dakotas, Idaho, and the eastern parts of WA and OR
Hardly anyone lives in those areas though. And the cities in those states are still really blue/left.
PA is already way too big as it is, they should split it into 3 states