I mean you have two of the most important contributors to Fallout 1 & 2, and the project director from New Vegas - if they can’t do it, it can’t be done.
For what it’s worth I really liked Outer Worlds 1&2 and PoE I & II, as well as Avowed - so whatever they make, I’m probably going to enjoy it.
I think the saving grace may be this:
I almost wonder if they knew this might happen and Josh was in pre-production on “totally not Fallout but actually Fallout” as an insurance policy. Also, Tim Cain actually recently came back to Obsidian full-time - which may just be a coincidence, but is very convenient for making the argument for them to be given the project.