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Cake day: December 30th, 2025

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  • Because if he dies before August 4th, a special election is triggered to replace him until his term is up in January.

    If after that date, then his seat simply remains vacant until his successor is elected in November and inaugurated in January.

    If there is a special election, Thomas Massie could run. This is important because he could possibly split the Republican vote and get a Democrat elected, but at the very least it causes the RNC to spend resources on an election.

    Massie cannot run in the general in November because he lost the Republican primary, and Kentucky has a law that says you can’t run as an independent in the general if you lose your party’s primary.


  • History contains a lot more peaceful trade and cooperation than it does war. You know how they say “history is written by the victors”? There’s truth to that, but I’m much more a fan of “history is written by those who wrote it down.”

    Now that sounds kind of nonsensically tautological on its face, but there are two main takeaways to this: it was only written by the people who and the means and the ability (usually rich and/or educated people which definitely has an impact on history) and they only wrote it down if it was noteworthy. So you might get some forms of record keeping when it comes to commerce, but by and large if things were uninteresting and just another day in the life then nobody would be too inclined to make a record of it.

    War, by its very nature, is very disruptive and noteworthy. You can see how people would be more inclined to make a record of it, to say nothing of the literary works that it can inspire.