The Senate, where the GOP holds 53 seats, remains a toss-up, the conservative outlet says
For the first time this year, Fox News is projecting that Democrats will win control of the House of Representatives in November’s midterm elections.
In its latest power rankings Tuesday, the conservative outlet forecast that Democrats are favored to capture 219 seats — one more than the 218 needed for a majority. Republicans were favored in 198 races, while 18 contests remained toss-ups.
“The House is likely out of reach for the GOP this year,” according to the Fox News analysis. “The Democratic Party has enjoyed a lead in the House all year. Now, as another 20 races shift leftward, this forecast sees the Democrats taking control.”
The goal is to lull people into a false sense of security. Voting isn’t necessarily easy for every person legally entitled to vote. You’re supposed to get time off of work, sure, but the actual reality of that especially for shift-laborers, or parents with young children who can’t stand in line for an hour with them, or people who live in remote locations with few voting places can be quite different.
If they keep hearing that their side is likely to win and it’s going to be a pain in the ass for them to actually vote anyway, then they’re more likely to skip the hassle thinking they have the victory in the bag.
Additionally, hearing “the opposition is probably going to win” does a lot to mobilize the maga side to get off their asses and vote, even if trumpster’s approval rating has dropped to pretty much just dedicated magats.
I’m convinced that 99.95% of the time, polls exist and are publicized primarily to impact the outcome and NOT to provide clear or unbiased information.
But don’t people understand that the victory being promised is contigent on them voting? I was motivated to vote liberal precisely because I was told they could win, otherwise I would have voted NDP feeling like it was in vain because conservatives were surely going to win
People were googling “can I change my vote” enough to show up in the data after last election. The average person is stupid as fuck.